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GLP-1s & incretins

Semaglutide

A GLP-1 receptor agonist with one of the largest clinical trial programmes in modern metabolic medicine.

L5Repeated human trialsApproved medicine (jurisdiction-specific) · FDA (US), European Commission (EU)Approved
How settled this rating is:
high confidence in the current evidence rating
Routes studied:
Subcutaneous injection, Oral
Also known as:
Ozempic, Wegovy, Rybelsus, GLP-1 receptor agonist
Last reviewed:
2026-10-01
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Evidence passport

Semaglutide

A one-screen evidence identity for this compound. These fields describe research maturity, confidence and legal status. They are not a safety guarantee, efficacy percentage or recommendation.

Reviewed 2026-10-01
Evidence level
L5Repeated human trials
Confidence
High confidence in rating
Regulatory status
Approved medicine (jurisdiction-specific) · See jurisdiction details
Development status
Approved

Evidence strength

Human efficacy evidence95 of 100 evidence strength

Higher = more and better-quality human evidence. It does not mean the effect is bigger or that the compound works for you.

Human safety evidence88 of 100 evidence strength

Higher = more mature, better-documented human safety data. It does not mean the compound is safer than one with a lower number.

The 0-100 values rate the strength and maturity of evidence, not how effective or safe the compound is.

Evidence base
Includes human studies
Furthest established stage
Approved
Human research maturity
Approved, multiple completed Phase 3 programmes and cardiovascular outcome trials
Source curation
Sources fully curated

Routes recorded

SC injectionOral

Evidence Diff

What changed since the previous recorded review?

Grade unchanged

Previous recorded review

L5

Latest recorded review

L5

Latest material update

Added 2026 randomized human epigenetic-aging evidence, a smaller human pilot analysis, and late-life mouse lifespan evidence, with explicit separation between biomarker changes, mechanistic plausibility and unproven human longevity claims.

No overall compound-rating change. Semaglutide remains L5 because of its established approved clinical evidence base. The aging evidence is claim-specific: randomized human evidence currently supports changes in DNA-methylation aging biomarkers in a specific population, while lifespan extension has only been demonstrated in female mice. Human rejuvenation or lifespan extension is not established. Reviewed 1 October 2026.

This comparison uses only recorded change-log fields. Historical confidence is not inferred when it was not explicitly stored. A grade change still requires human editorial review.

Overview

Human efficacy evidence strength95 of 100 evidence strength

Higher = more and better-quality human evidence. It does not mean the effect is bigger or that the compound works for you.

Preclinical (animal / lab) evidence strength90 of 100 evidence strength

Higher = more animal, tissue or cell research. Preclinical results are a starting point, not proof of a human benefit.

Human safety evidence strength88 of 100 evidence strength

Higher = more mature, better-documented human safety data. It does not mean the compound is safer than one with a lower number.

How to read these scores

Every number here rates the evidence, not the compound. They are editorial 0-100 strength ratings, not percentages, and not a rating out of five stars.

  • Human efficacy evidence strength — Higher = more and better-quality human evidence. It does not mean the effect is bigger or that the compound works for you.
  • Preclinical evidence strength — Higher = more animal, tissue or cell research. Preclinical results are a starting point, not proof of a human benefit.
  • Human safety evidence strength — Higher = more mature, better-documented human safety data. It does not mean the compound is safer than one with a lower number. A score of 80 does not mean “80% safe”.
  • Evidence level (L0-L5) — the strongest type of study behind the compound, from anecdote (L0) to large replicated human trials (L5). It is a description of the study evidence, not a quality, safety or recommendation rating.
  • Confidence — how likely we think it is that this rating changes as new research lands. Low confidence means the picture is unsettled, not that the compound is bad.

None of these ratings is medical advice, a safety guarantee, or a recommendation to use anything. How we grade evidence.

How far human research has progressed: Approved, multiple completed Phase 3 programmes and cardiovascular outcome trials

Routes & formulations

Studied / approved routes

SC injectionOral

Approved products are subcutaneous injections (Ozempic, Wegovy). There are now two distinct oral products and they are not interchangeable: Rybelsus is authorised for type 2 diabetes, while the oral Wegovy 25 mg tablet is authorised for chronic weight management. Different products, different indications, different trial programmes — the same molecule is not the same medicine, and evidence from one formulation does not automatically transfer to another.

Route availability is not evidence of efficacy, and evidence from one route does not transfer to another. The Registry never provides dosing or sourcing information.

Peptide lifecycle

  1. Discovery

  2. Preclinical

  3. Phase I

  4. Phase II

  5. Phase III

  6. Approved

Approved

What it is

A long-acting synthetic analogue of GLP-1, a gut hormone released after eating. It slows gastric emptying, increases glucose-dependent insulin release and acts on appetite circuits in the brain.

What people claim

  • Substantial and sustained weight loss
  • Improved blood glucose control in type 2 diabetes
  • Reduced cardiovascular events in higher-risk groups
  • Reduces 'food noise'

What the evidence actually says

This is one of the rare cases where the marketing and the evidence are roughly in the same postcode. Large randomised trials show clinically meaningful weight loss and glycaemic improvement, with outcome data in specific higher-risk populations. Effects depend on continued use; discontinuation is generally followed by partial weight regain. The trial programme is now extending into younger children: Novo Nordisk announced STEP Young Phase 3 topline results on 7 September 2026 in children aged 6 to under 12, which are sponsor-reported and not yet peer-reviewed full data.

Useful next reads based on this compound — not recommendations.

Human evidence

  • Multiple large randomised, placebo-controlled Phase 3 trials in type 2 diabetes and obesity.
  • Cardiovascular outcome trials in defined higher-risk populations.
  • Long-term extension data on weight maintenance and regain after stopping.
  • Exploratory post hoc analysis of a 32-week randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase 2b trial in adults with HIV-associated lipohypertrophy found lower estimates across several DNA-methylation aging clocks versus placebo, including a 0.09 lower DunedinPACE value. Epigenetic aging was not a prespecified endpoint and this does not establish rejuvenation or longer human lifespan.
  • A separate 24-week SLIM LIVER pilot analysis in people with HIV and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease reported changes in epigenetic-aging measures associated with metabolic response; the pilot design does not establish causality or longevity benefit.
  • Sponsor-reported topline (Novo Nordisk, 7 September 2026): the STEP Young Phase 3 trial in children aged 6 to under 12 with obesity met its primary endpoint. Under the trial-product estimand, 40.4% of semaglutide-treated children were below the obesity BMI threshold after 68 weeks versus 0% on placebo, with both groups receiving lifestyle modification. Novo reported overall safety and tolerability consistent with previous adult and adolescent semaglutide experience; that is a sponsor topline statement, not a completed peer-reviewed safety analysis in this age group.

Preclinical evidence

  • Extensive rodent work on appetite circuits, gastric emptying and islet function.
  • Rodent thyroid C-cell tumour findings that drive a labelled contraindication for people with a personal or family history of medullary thyroid carcinoma or MEN2.
  • A 2026 Nature study starting semaglutide at 20 months of age in female C57BL/6 mice reported improved physiological function, attenuation of several hallmarks of aging and extended lifespan with continued treatment. This is preclinical evidence and does not demonstrate human lifespan extension.

Animal and cell findings are Level 1–2 evidence.

Mechanism and pathways

  • GLP-1 receptor agonism in pancreatic beta cells increases glucose-dependent insulin secretion.
  • Central GLP-1 receptor signalling in hypothalamic and brainstem circuits reduces appetite and reward-driven eating.
  • Delayed gastric emptying increases fullness after meals.

Safety and unknowns

  • Very common: nausea, vomiting, constipation, diarrhoea — usually dose-related and often settling over time.
  • Notable: gallbladder events, pancreatitis (uncommon), dehydration from persistent vomiting.
  • Muscle and bone loss alongside fat loss is an active research topic; resistance training and protein intake are widely discussed but not a substitute for clinical guidance.
  • Separately from the molecule: FDA's refreshed warnings about unapproved and compounded GLP-1 products cite adverse-event reports, fraudulent or inaccurate labelling, semaglutide salt forms that are not the approved active ingredient, shipping without proper temperature control, and dosing errors with multi-dose vials. That is product-quality and supply-chain risk, not evidence about approved semaglutide itself.

Cancer relevance

This section covers questions raised by how the compound works in the body, plus anything regulators and trial teams keep an eye on. It is not a statement that this compound causes cancer — for most compounds here, no human data exist in either direction.

Monitored in trials; not demonstrated in humans

Rodent studies showed thyroid C-cell tumours, which is why labelling carries a contraindication in people with specific thyroid cancer syndromes. That is a species-specific preclinical signal plus a precautionary label, not a demonstrated human cancer risk. Pharmacovigilance continues.

Regulatory status

Regulatory decisions apply to specific jurisdictions, products, formulations and indications. An approval elsewhere is not automatically an approval in your country.

Named regulators: FDA (US), European Commission (EU)

Authorised product and indication: Approval varies by product and indication: Ozempic, Rybelsus and Wegovy have distinct authorisations. See the regulatory note for formulation-specific details.

Approved in multiple regions for type 2 diabetes and, in separate formulations, for weight management. In March 2024 the FDA approved Wegovy to reduce the risk of cardiovascular death, heart attack and stroke in adults with established cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity, and in August 2025 granted accelerated approval for Wegovy in adults with noncirrhotic MASH with moderate-to-advanced (F2-F3) fibrosis. On 22 December 2025 the FDA approved a once-daily oral semaglutide 25 mg Wegovy tablet for chronic weight management, launched in January 2026; the European Commission approved the Wegovy tablet and a 7.2 mg injection/pen in July 2026. Every approval is product- and indication-specific. On a US legal point, the Fifth Circuit upheld FDA's semaglutide shortage-list determination in an opinion revised on 1 September 2026. That reinforces the shortage delisting and the end of shortage-based routine copying of the approved products; it does not make every form of individually tailored compounding categorically unlawful, as narrow statutory exceptions can still apply. This is legal and regulatory evidence, not efficacy or safety evidence.

  • 2024-03-08 · United States

    FDA approved Wegovy to reduce the risk of cardiovascular death, heart attack and stroke in adults with established cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity.

  • 2025-08 · United States

    FDA granted accelerated approval to Wegovy for adults with noncirrhotic MASH with moderate-to-advanced liver fibrosis (F2-F3).

Key study types

  • L5Repeated human trialsPhase 3 weight management programme

    Randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled — Adults with obesity or overweight with comorbidity

    Substantial average weight reduction versus placebo, sustained with continued treatment.

Evidence grade

L5Repeated human trialsHigh confidence in rating

Substantial, consistent controlled human evidence supporting a specified outcome, preferably independently replicated. Approval is reported separately.

What would change our rating?

  • Long-term registry data resolving the thyroid signal in humans either way.
  • Head-to-head outcome trials against newer multi-receptor agonists.
  • Prospectively powered human geroscience trials with prespecified aging endpoints, multiple-testing control, longer follow-up and clinical or functional outcomes rather than biomarker changes alone.

References and sources

Source transparency

A provenance snapshot of this profile. Counts show what kinds of sources are cited, not how much scientific weight each source deserves.

Sources fully curated
Last editorial review
2026-10-01
Recently reviewed · 15 days ago
Linked curated sources
11
Sources still pending
0
External specialist reviews
0
None recorded for this profile
Regulatory / label: 5Peer-reviewed: 3Sponsor / official: 3

Review provenance

Registry editorial review: Colin Jackson-White, creator and editor, who is not a doctor or clinician. External specialist review is credited only when a named reviewer has completed a review of this exact profile.

Literature-discovery and AI tools may help locate or challenge candidate evidence, but they are not counted as evidence sources here. Registry judgements are tied to the underlying papers, trial records, regulator documents and official study records.

Source hierarchy: regulatory documents and trial registries first, peer-reviewed work next, sponsor material flagged as non-independent. We never use supplier or clinic marketing as evidence, and where a verified source has not yet been curated we say so rather than inventing one.

Evidence change history

These entries record changes to our assessment of the published evidence — not changes to the compound itself.

  1. Added 2026 randomized human epigenetic-aging evidence, a smaller human pilot analysis, and late-life mouse lifespan evidence, with explicit separation between biomarker changes, mechanistic plausibility and unproven human longevity claims.

    Change 1 of 3
    L5Repeated human trials
    No overall compound-rating change. Semaglutide remains L5 because of its established approved clinical evidence base. The aging evidence is claim-specific: randomized human evidence currently supports changes in DNA-methylation aging biomarkers in a specific population, while lifespan extension has only been demonstrated in female mice. Human rejuvenation or lifespan extension is not established. Reviewed 1 October 2026.
  2. Novo Nordisk announced STEP Young Phase 3 topline results on 7 September 2026 in children aged 6 to under 12 years with obesity. The trial met its primary endpoint: under the trial-product estimand, 40.4% of semaglutide-treated children were below the obesity BMI threshold after 68 weeks versus 0% on placebo, with both groups receiving lifestyle modification. Novo reported overall safety and tolerability consistent with previous adult and adolescent experience.

    Change 2 of 3
    L5Repeated human trials
    No rating moved. Semaglutide is already at the highest evidence level, and these are sponsor-reported topline results rather than peer-reviewed full data — the detailed efficacy and safety analyses in this age group have not yet been published or reviewed by a regulator for a paediatric weight-management indication in under-12s. The sponsor's tolerability statement is recorded as reported and not upgraded into a stronger safety conclusion. Reviewed 9 September 2026.
  3. Formulation and regulatory update: FDA approved a once-daily oral semaglutide 25 mg Wegovy tablet for chronic weight management on 22 December 2025, launched January 2026; the European Commission approved the Wegovy tablet and the 7.2 mg injection in July 2026.

    Change 3 of 3
    L5Repeated human trials
    The evidence level did not change; the product landscape did. There are now two distinct oral semaglutide products with different authorised uses — Rybelsus for type 2 diabetes and the oral Wegovy tablet for weight management. They are not interchangeable.

Related claims we’ve checked — in full

Claim verdict

GLP-1s

MisleadingL4Good human trials

“If my GLP-1 stops suppressing appetite, it has stopped working.”

This verdict applies to the exact claim above. It is not a verdict on the compound overall, a safety guarantee, or a recommendation to use it.

Registry verdict

Misleading — appetite suppression is a sensation, not the mechanism of benefit.

Why this verdict

  • Early strong nausea and appetite suppression often fade as the body adapts, while metabolic and glycaemic effects continue.
  • Weight trajectory, glycaemic markers and clinical measures are the outcomes that matter, not how loudly you notice the drug.
  • Plateaus have many causes — energy balance shifts, adaptation, adherence — and self-escalating a dose to chase a feeling is exactly the behaviour clinicians warn about.

Claim verdict

GLP-1s

Supported by evidenceL5Repeated human trials

“Semaglutide reduces cardiovascular events in higher-risk people.”

This verdict applies to the exact claim above. It is not a verdict on the compound overall, a safety guarantee, or a recommendation to use it.

Registry verdict

Supported — within the specific populations studied.

Why this verdict

  • Dedicated cardiovascular outcome trials in defined higher-risk populations support this.
  • 'Supported' here is population-specific; it is not a promise of benefit for everyone who takes it.
  • This is what Level 5 evidence looks like, for contrast with most of this registry.